Ebbsfleet vs Horsham Prediction, Betting Tips, Odds & Preview

FreeOddsTips Verdict

Updated 18 Oct 2026

PredictionEbbsfleet Asian Handicap -1.5

Best Odds2.20

Value BetEbbsfleet Over 1.5 Goals

Confidence★★★★☆

Best available price · 18+ · Play responsiblyBet Ebbsfleet Asian Handicap -1.5 @ 2.20

Written by GüvenSports Betting & Product Specialist

Updated 18 October 2026 · 2 min read

Ebbsfleet United take on Horsham at Stonebridge Road on Tuesday night with Josh Wright’s side in excellent shape at the top end of the National League South table. The Fleet are unbeaten in nine league matches and have turned their last two home fixtures into statements, beating AFC Totton 5-0 before dismantling Weston-super-Mare 6-1.

Horsham arrive on the back of a useful 2-1 win at Slough Town, their first league victory since August. Dom Di Paola’s side deserve respect for an unbeaten away league record, but this is a major step up in difficulty against a home attack that has scored 11 goals across its last two league games.

Kwesi Appiah’s hat-trick against Weston underlined the depth and sharpness in Ebbsfleet’s forward line, while Daniel Ogunleye, Lennon Peake and Gene Kennedy have all made important recent contributions. The hosts have the tools to put Horsham under sustained pressure from the opening stages.

FreeOddsTips’ Ebbsfleet vs Horsham prediction is Ebbsfleet Asian Handicap -1.5 at 2.20. The Fleet’s current level, attacking options and recent dominance at Stonebridge Road make a two-goal home win a realistic target.

Match Preview

Ebbsfleet have combined control with cutting edge during their four-game league winning run, scoring 14 times and conceding only once. Their high-tempo starts have repeatedly unsettled opponents, with Peake’s delivery, Appiah’s movement beyond the defence and Ogunleye’s penalty-box presence giving Wright several ways to hurt sides.

Horsham’s away form cannot be dismissed: they are unbeaten in five National League South trips. Yet their latest win at Slough came after the hosts had a first-half red card, and recent reports have exposed problems dealing with direct play, crosses and set pieces. That is a concern against an Ebbsfleet side full of runners and coming into the game after successive emphatic home performances.

Horsham can threaten through Greg Luer, Jamie Yila and Reece Meekums, particularly down the left, but the absence of injured defender Lee Harding leaves their defensive options less settled. Ebbsfleet should have enough quality to take control and turn territorial dominance into a convincing result.

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Our Best BetEditor’s Choice

Ebbsfleet Asian Handicap -1.5

Ebbsfleet have won four straight league matches
The Fleet scored 11 goals in their last two home games
Horsham have recent defensive concerns from crosses

Best Odds2.20Decimal

18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgBet Ebbsfleet Asian Handicap -1.5 @ 2.20

Why Ebbsfleet Asian Handicap -1.5 Makes Sense

Ebbsfleet are playing with real authority. Their last four league wins have brought 14 goals, while the 5-0 defeat of AFC Totton and 6-1 win over Weston-super-Mare show how quickly they can turn home pressure into a one-sided scoreline. Appiah, Ogunleye and Peake give Josh Wright both pace in behind and a reliable presence around the box.

Horsham's unbeaten league away record is the obvious counterargument, but it has been built largely on tight results. Their 2-1 win at Slough was aided by a first-half dismissal for the hosts, while their recent reports have highlighted difficulties against direct deliveries and set pieces. Ebbsfleet have the personnel and current attacking rhythm to exploit those areas.

The -1.5 line asks Ebbsfleet to win by two or more goals, but that is more appealing than a simple home-win angle at 2.20 given the hosts' current scoring output. Horsham have capable forwards, though a clean-sheet home win remains a credible route to landing the selection.

Form & Recent Matches

Newest match first.

Ebbsfleet

WWWWL

17 Oct 2026HWeston-super-Mare
National League South6-1W
13 Oct 2026HAFC Totton
National League South5-0W
10 Oct 2026AHampton & Richmond Borough
National League South2-0W
6 Oct 2026HFolkestone Invicta
National League South1-0W
3 Oct 2026HSholing
FA Cup1-2L

Horsham

WLLWD

17 Oct 2026ASlough Town
National League South2-1W
10 Oct 2026HMaidstone United
National League South1-2L
3 Oct 2026APlymouth Parkway
FA Cup1-2L
29 Sep 2026HNewhaven
Sussex Senior Cup10-0W
26 Sep 2026AChelmsford City
National League South0-0D

Match Statistics

Last 10 Matches

Ebbsfleet6 W · 3 D · 1 L

2.20Avg goals scored

0.70Avg goals conceded

4/10Clean sheets

6Wins

3Draws

1Losses

Horsham3 W · 3 D · 4 L

2.10Avg goals scored

1.30Avg goals conceded

3/10Clean sheets

3Wins

3Draws

4Losses

GoalsBTTSHalf TimeClean SheetsForm

Statistic	Ebbsfleet	Horsham
Avg goals scored	2.20	2.10
Avg goals conceded	0.70	1.30
Scored 0 goals	1/10	1/10
Scored 1 goal	4/10	6/10
Scored 2 goals	2/10	1/10
Scored 3+ goals	3/10	2/10
Conceded 0 goals	4/10	3/10
Conceded 1 goal	5/10	3/10
Conceded 2 goals	1/10	3/10
Conceded 3+ goals	0/10	1/10

Statistic	Ebbsfleet	Horsham
BTTS — Yes	6/10	7/10
BTTS — No	4/10	3/10

Half-time data unavailable.

Statistic	Ebbsfleet	Horsham
Clean sheets	4/10	3/10
Failed to keep a clean sheet	6/10	7/10

Ebbsfleet

WWWWLDWWDD

6 Wins · 3 Draws · 1 Losses

Horsham

WLLWDWLDDL

3 Wins · 3 Draws · 4 Losses

Newest match first.

Form Analysis

Recent Form

How both teams have been performing.

Ebbsfleet

Home team

Form Outlook

Ebbsfleet are unbeaten in nine National League South matches and have found another gear during October. Four straight league wins have featured 14 goals scored and only one conceded, with the 5-0 and 6-1 home victories over AFC Totton and Weston-super-Mare particularly emphatic.

Their home record is also strong rather than purely inflated by the latest two results. The Fleet are unbeaten in five home league games, have scored 13 times and conceded twice. Wright has rotated through a busy schedule without reducing the side's attacking threat.

Horsham

Away team

Form Outlook

Horsham stopped a seven-match league wait for victory with a 2-1 success at Slough, recovering from an early goal down. That result extended their unbeaten league away record to five matches, with two wins and three draws.

The broader run is less convincing. Horsham have lost three of their last six competitive fixtures and conceded two goals in each of the defeats to Maidstone United and Plymouth Parkway. Their 10-0 Sussex Senior Cup result against Newhaven also heavily skews the headline goals figures from the last 10 games.

Team News

Squad Update

Latest squad information before kick-off.

Ebbsfleet

Home team

Squad Status

Will Tizzard returned from the bench against Weston-super-Mare after being forced off against Folkestone Invicta on 6 October, so he is back in the active group. Gio Bellagambi remains in rehabilitation from a serious injury. No current Ebbsfleet suspension was confirmed.

Rotation is a consideration because this is Ebbsfleet's third home league match in eight days. Appiah and Toby Edser returned to start against Weston, while options such as Aramide Oteh, Finlay Barnes, Charlie Seaman and Harvey Walker give Wright scope to refresh the attack.

Horsham

Away team

Squad Status

Lee Harding was unavailable through injury for the win at Slough Town, with Jake Elliott coming into central defence. Lucas Rodrigues is out for the season following a serious knee injury sustained in pre-season.

Sam Howes returned in goal at Slough after concussion precautions, while Reece Meekums also started after a previous knock. No active Horsham suspension was confirmed, and Greg Luer has a strong claim to start after scoring the winner from the bench.

Tactical Analysis

Tactical Outlook

EbbsfleetHome

Tactical matchup

HorshamAway

Tactical Outlook

Ebbsfleet are expected to operate from a 4-2-3-1 or fluid 4-3-3, pressing high and attacking quickly through the wide areas. Peake's left-sided service and Appiah's runs behind the defence have been a potent combination, while Ogunleye offers a focal point for cut-backs and second balls. Vennings' counter-pressing can also prevent Horsham from settling into possession.

Horsham have recently used a 4-3-3, with their left-side combination of Sparks and Meekums an important attacking outlet. Their front line has mobility, but they were unsettled by Slough's direct balls, long throws and crosses before the interval. Ebbsfleet should test that vulnerability with early deliveries, pressure around the box and their centre-backs at dead balls.

The key contest is whether Horsham's midfield can slow Ebbsfleet's tempo. If Hammond, Barker and Hester-Cook are forced too deep, the visitors may struggle to feed their forwards and leave their back four exposed to repeated attacks.

H2H

Head-to-Head

Previous meetings between the two teams.

24 Feb 2026National League SouthVenue: HorshamEbbsfleet1–1Horsham
25 Nov 2025National League SouthVenue: EbbsfleetEbbsfleet1–2Horsham

Expected Starting XI

Team Lineups

Projected starting lineups for both teams.

EbbsfleetFormation 4-2-3-1

HorshamFormation 4-3-3

Players to Watch

Key Players

Players who could have an important influence on the match.

Ebbsfleet

Home team

Kwesi AppiahST
Scored a first-half hat-trick against Weston-super-Mare and brings sharp movement in behind.
Daniel OgunleyeST
Has scored regularly since joining and gives Ebbsfleet a strong penalty-box target.
Lennon PeakeLW
His pace and delivery created Appiah's opener in the 6-1 win over Weston.
James VenningsCM
Sets the tone with pressing and recovery work, as well as supplying the final third.
Gene KennedyCM
A regular central influence who scored in the latest home win.

Horsham

Away team

Greg LuerST
Scored the decisive goal at Slough and could earn a starting role.
Reece Myles-MeekumsRW
Provides running power and delivery, especially when linking with Horsham's left side.
James HammondCM
Scored at Slough and offers set-piece quality from midfield.
Jamie YilaLW
Created danger at Slough and hit the woodwork after the break.
Sam HowesGK
Returned at Slough and may face a sustained volume of Ebbsfleet attempts.

What the Numbers Tell Us

Data Insight

What the recent numbers suggest about the matchup.

Our Reading of the Data

Ebbsfleet's recent home output is the clearest numerical argument. They have scored 13 goals in five home league games, and 11 of those have come in their last two fixtures at Stonebridge Road. Across their last 10 competitive matches, they have scored 22 and conceded only seven, with four clean sheets.

Horsham's unbeaten away league record deserves respect: two wins, three draws, six scored and four conceded in five trips. But that sequence has not included a side currently scoring at Ebbsfleet's rate. Their last-10 record contains seven matches with over 2.5 goals, while defensive issues against crosses and corner deliveries are relevant against the hosts' current attacking approach.

The numbers point towards Ebbsfleet scoring at least twice. For the -1.5 handicap to land, the Fleet need to turn that attacking control into separation on the scoreboard, as they have done in their two most recent home league matches.

Final Verdict

Editorial

Our ConclusionEbbsfleetvsHorsham

Horsham have shown they can stay competitive away from home, but Ebbsfleet are meeting them at a difficult moment. Wright's side are unbeaten in the league, have scored freely through a deep attacking unit and have made Stonebridge Road a particularly uncomfortable venue in October.

The visitors carry a threat on the break, yet their recent difficulties with direct pressure and deliveries are a poor fit for this matchup. Ebbsfleet Asian Handicap -1.5 at 2.20 is the FreeOddsTips selection, with a 3-0 home win the predicted score.