Newcastle vs Everton Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

FreeOddsTips Verdict

Updated 30 Oct 2026

PredictionOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Best Odds2.41

Value BetNewcastle Over 1.5 Goals

Confidence★★★☆☆

Best available price · 18+ · Play responsiblyBet Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes @ 2.41

Written by GüvenSports Betting & Product Specialist

Updated 30 October 2026 · 2 min read

Newcastle United host Everton at St. James’ Park on Monday night, only four days after the sides served up a lively Carabao Cup tie on Merseyside. Everton won that contest 3-1, but the quick turnaround and change of venue give Newcastle a direct chance to respond.

Matthias Jaissle’s side have been inconsistent in the Premier League, yet their home games have rarely lacked incident. Newcastle have scored six and conceded six across four league matches at St. James’ Park, with three of those fixtures producing at least three goals.

Everton arrive with confidence after their cup win, where James Garner, Hayden Hackney and Thierno Barry all found the net. David Moyes’ team have been harder to beat than to break down in the league, but the previous meeting showed they can punish Newcastle when turnovers open space in transition.

FreeOddsTips’ Newcastle vs Everton prediction is Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes at 2.41. The recent head-to-head record, Newcastle’s defensive inconsistency and Everton’s attacking display in Thursday’s meeting point towards another game with chances at both ends.

Match Preview

Newcastle’s 4-2-3-1 has produced enough attacking moments through Harvey Barnes, Jacob Murphy and the advancing full-backs, but it has also left them exposed when possession is lost. Everton exploited that ruthlessly in the cup, pressing high for the opener and attacking quickly through Barry, Dewsbury-Hall and the wide players. Newcastle should carry more initiative at home, although that could again create transition opportunities for the visitors.

There are selection issues on both sides. Will Osula came off with a knock in the cup tie, making Yoane Wissa a likely central option for Newcastle, while Everton are still waiting on clarity over Jarrad Branthwaite’s concussion protocol. With Newcastle needing a response after conceding three to this opponent and Everton’s midfield arriving in form, a 2-1 home win is the preferred correct-score call.

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Our Best BetEditor’s Choice

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

The sides produced four goals four days ago
Newcastle have conceded 17 goals in their last 10
Everton's midfield punished turnovers in the cup

Best Odds2.41Decimal

18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgBet Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes @ 2.41

Why Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes Makes Sense

The cup meeting on 29 October gives this selection an unusually fresh piece of evidence. Everton won 3-1 after Newcastle created early openings but repeatedly left themselves vulnerable following turnovers. Newcastle’s late goal also ensured both attacks found a route through.

Jaissle’s Newcastle are built to play with intensity and attack quickly, which has helped create chances but has not yet delivered defensive control. They have conceded 14 goals in eight league matches and only kept two clean sheets. At St. James’ Park, three of their four league fixtures have produced at least three goals.

Everton have been lower-scoring across their league campaign, so backing the visitors outright is less appealing than the combined goals angle. Barry, Garner, Hackney and Dewsbury-Hall showed in Thursday’s tie that Everton have the runners and composure to exploit the spaces Newcastle can leave. At 2.41, Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes is the main play.

Form & Recent Matches

Newest match first.

Newcastle

LWLLW

29 Oct 2026AEverton
Carabao Cup1-3L
25 Oct 2026ACrystal Palace
Premier League2-0W
17 Oct 2026HAston Villa
Premier League0-1L
12 Oct 2026ACoventry City
Premier League1-4L
19 Sep 2026HHull City
Premier League2-1W

Everton

WLLDW

29 Oct 2026HNewcastle
Carabao Cup3-1W
24 Oct 2026AArsenal
Premier League0-2L
17 Oct 2026HChelsea
Premier League0-2L
11 Oct 2026AHull City
Premier League2-2D
19 Sep 2026HIpswich Town
Premier League1-0W

Match Statistics

Last 10 Matches

Newcastle5 W · 1 D · 4 L

1.50Avg goals scored

1.70Avg goals conceded

3/10Clean sheets

5Wins

1Draws

4Losses

Everton4 W · 4 D · 2 L

1.40Avg goals scored

1.00Avg goals conceded

4/10Clean sheets

4Wins

4Draws

2Losses

GoalsBTTSHalf TimeClean SheetsForm

Statistic	Newcastle	Everton
Avg goals scored	1.50	1.40
Avg goals conceded	1.70	1.00
Scored 0 goals	1/10	3/10
Scored 1 goal	4/10	3/10
Scored 2 goals	4/10	2/10
Scored 3+ goals	1/10	2/10
Conceded 0 goals	3/10	4/10
Conceded 1 goal	2/10	2/10
Conceded 2 goals	2/10	4/10
Conceded 3+ goals	3/10	0/10

Statistic	Newcastle	Everton
BTTS — Yes	6/10	4/10
BTTS — No	4/10	6/10

Half-time data unavailable.

Statistic	Newcastle	Everton
Clean sheets	3/10	4/10
Failed to keep a clean sheet	7/10	6/10

Newcastle

LWLLWLWDWW

5 Wins · 1 Draws · 4 Losses

Everton

WLLDWWDDDW

4 Wins · 4 Draws · 2 Losses

Newest match first.

Form Analysis

Recent Form

How both teams have been performing.

Newcastle

Home team

Form Outlook

Newcastle’s last five matches have swung sharply between strong away wins and damaging defeats. The 2-0 win at Crystal Palace showed they can be disciplined and clinical, but the losses to Coventry, Aston Villa and Everton underline how quickly their structure can unravel when mistakes are punished.

Their home league record is 1-2-1, with six scored and six conceded. Newcastle have scored twice against Liverpool, Bournemouth and Hull at St. James’ Park, but their only home clean sheet in that sequence has not arrived.

Everton

Away team

Form Outlook

Everton’s cup victory over Newcastle was a timely response to successive 2-0 league defeats against Chelsea and Arsenal. Moyes’ side were efficient rather than dominant, winning the ball high for one goal and using transitions well for the others.

Their Premier League away record remains winless at 0-3-1, although draws at Bournemouth, Tottenham and Hull show they can compete away from home. Everton have been more reliable defensively than Newcastle across the last 10 matches, but their recent league trips have still produced goals at both ends against Bournemouth and Hull.

Team News

Squad Update

Latest squad information before kick-off.

Newcastle

Home team

Squad Status

Will Osula is a fresh doubt after coming off at half-time against Everton with a knock/foot issue. Yoane Wissa replaced him in the cup tie and is the leading alternative to start up front if Osula does not recover.

Tino Livramento remains unavailable with a knee injury, while Ewen Jaouen is out with a hamstring problem. Matias Fernandez-Pardo and Lewis Miley missed the cup match through illness and a glute issue respectively. Joelinton, Dan Burn, Anthony Elanga and Jacob Ramsey have recently returned from injury absences, although Elanga and Ramsey are still building match sharpness.

Everton

Away team

Squad Status

Jarrad Branthwaite missed Everton’s last two matches while following concussion protocols, so his availability depends on medical clearance. Jake O’Brien has started alongside James Tarkowski in his absence.

Jack Grealish was unavailable for the cup tie because of a club-discipline breach, with no confirmed timeframe given for his return. Christian Nørgaard is back in the squad but Moyes has indicated that he is still working towards full match fitness. Vitalii Mykolenko has returned from his recent minor injury and started the last two games.

Tactical Analysis

Tactical Outlook

NewcastleHome

Tactical matchup

EvertonAway

Tactical Outlook

Newcastle are expected to stay close to Jaissle’s 4-2-3-1, with González and Joelinton asked to control the centre while Barnes and Murphy stretch Everton’s back line. Their full-backs, particularly Dedić and Hall, supply progression and width, but the aggressive positioning can leave the centre-backs defending large spaces after a turnover.

Everton used a midfield three in the cup but have generally played 4-2-3-1 in the league. Garner, Dewsbury-Hall and Hackney were excellent against Newcastle, combining pressing with direct forward running. Barry’s ability to link play gives Everton a target for early passes when Newcastle commit players forward.

The key area is likely to be Newcastle’s rest defence against Everton’s counter-attacks. Newcastle should see more of the ball at home, but Everton have already shown they can turn one misplaced pass into a high-quality chance. Set pieces also carry weight, with Garner’s delivery and Tarkowski’s presence a threat, while Burn remains dangerous for Newcastle.

H2H

Head-to-Head

Previous meetings between the two teams.

29 Oct 2026Carabao CupVenue: EvertonNewcastle1–3Everton
28 Feb 2026Premier LeagueVenue: NewcastleNewcastle2–3Everton
29 Nov 2025Premier LeagueVenue: EvertonNewcastle4–1Everton
25 May 2025Premier LeagueVenue: NewcastleNewcastle0–1Everton

Expected Starting XI

Team Lineups

Projected starting lineups for both teams.

NewcastleFormation 4-2-3-1

EvertonFormation 4-2-3-1

Players to Watch

Key Players

Players who could have an important influence on the match.

Newcastle

Home team

Harvey BarnesLW
Newcastle's clearest recent scorer, with four goals this season and a goal at Crystal Palace.
Yoane WissaST
Could lead the line if Osula is unavailable and offers a more experienced central option.
Anthony ElangaRW
Returned from injury and supplied Burn's late goal with a direct cross at Everton.
JoelintonCM
His ball-winning and physicality could help Newcastle prevent Everton's transition attacks.
Dan BurnCB
Scored in the cup tie and remains a major aerial threat at set pieces.

Everton

Away team

Thierno BarryST
Everton's main striker scored and assisted in the cup win over Newcastle.
Hayden HackneyAM
Produced a goal and assist against Newcastle and has a strong claim to keep his place.
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallCM
Created Barry's goal in the cup and brings running power from midfield.
James GarnerCM
Scored against Newcastle and provides pressure, passing range and set-piece quality.
James TarkowskiCB
Everton's captain organises the defence and is a major set-piece target.

What the Numbers Tell Us

Data Insight

What the recent numbers suggest about the matchup.

Our Reading of the Data

Newcastle’s last 10 competitive matches have produced 32 goals, with the Magpies scoring 15 and conceding 17. Six of those games cleared Over 2.5 Goals and six saw both teams score. Their Premier League home record is similarly open: six scored and six conceded in four matches.

Everton’s wider last-10 profile is more controlled, with 14 scored, 10 conceded and four clean sheets. That makes the immediate context important. The teams played out a 3-1 cup match on Thursday, while Everton also won 3-2 at St. James’ Park in February.

The strongest case for the combined goals bet is Newcastle’s tendency to create and concede, allied to Everton’s proven ability to hurt them on the break. Everton’s lower overall BTTS and Over 2.5 figures keep the confidence level sensible rather than making this a maximum-stakes selection.

Final Verdict

Editorial

Our ConclusionNewcastlevsEverton

Newcastle should be sharper and more assertive at St. James’ Park after their cup elimination, but the same aggressive approach can leave them open to the Everton transitions that caused so much trouble four days earlier. Everton have enough pace, midfield running and a productive striker in Barry to contribute again.

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes is the FreeOddsTips selection at 2.41. Newcastle’s home scoring record and Everton’s fresh 3-1 win over this opponent make a 2-1 Newcastle victory a credible outcome, with both sides finding the net.