Burnley vs Wolves Prediction, Betting Tips, Odds & Preview

FreeOddsTips Verdict

Updated 16 Oct 2026

PredictionOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Best Odds2.10

Value BetBTTS Yes

Confidence★★★★☆

Best available price · 18+ · Play responsiblyBet Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes @ 2.10

Written by GüvenSports Betting & Product Specialist

Updated 16 October 2026 · 2 min read

Burnley host Wolves at Turf Moor on Friday night with both relegated sides still trying to settle into life in the Championship. The Clarets finally recorded their first league win of the campaign at Watford before a dramatic 2-2 draw with Charlton, while Wolves arrive after consecutive defeats.

Nicky Hayen’s side have been far more entertaining than their league position suggests. Burnley have scored in each of their five home league games, but they have also conceded in every one of them, which has created a strong platform for goal-based betting.

Wolves have their own defensive issues after conceding four times across losses to Middlesbrough and Bolton. César Peixoto still wants his team to play on the front foot, and the visitors have enough threat in Fer López, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde and Mateus Mané to trouble a makeshift Burnley back line.

FreeOddsTips is backing Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes at 2.10. Both teams have clear routes to goal, while neither defence arrives with much room for error. Our predicted score is a 2-1 Burnley win.

Match Preview

Burnley’s recent performances point towards an open contest. They put four past Watford and then created 18 shots against Charlton, although the late equaliser in that match again exposed their problems when defending decisive moments. Hayen has spoken openly about pursuing another goal rather than protecting a narrow lead, and his 4-2-3-1 gives Jacob Bruun Larsen and Largie Ramazani licence to attack from wide areas.

Wolves are without recognised senior forwards Adam Armstrong and Raúl Jiménez, so Sean Neave may be asked to lead the line. That weakens the away side’s focal point, but not necessarily their ability to score: Fer López has been productive this season, Bellegarde scored against Bolton, and Peixoto’s side continue to create chances through wide deliveries and runners from midfield. Burnley will also be without centre-back Anel Ahmedhodžić, making a clean sheet harder to trust.

The likely pattern is a game with attacking width, quick breaks after turnovers and periods where both midfields are exposed. Burnley’s home BTTS record and Wolves’ recent concession of four goals in two games make the combined goals-and-BTTS selection the right angle.

View More Betting Tips

Explore more Championship betting coverage and match analysis from FreeOddsTips as new previews are published. Our betting guides can also help when building goal-based selections, doubles and weekend accumulators.

Our Best BetEditor’s Choice

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Burnley have seen BTTS in all five home league games
Seven of Burnley's last 10 league matches went over 2.5
Both sides have defensive selection concerns

Best Odds2.10Decimal

18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgBet Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes @ 2.10

Why Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes Makes Sense

Burnley have been a dependable source of open games. They have scored and conceded in all five Championship matches at Turf Moor, while nine of their last 10 league games have seen both teams score. The Clarets have also produced over 2.5 goals in seven of those 10 matches.

Hayen's approach matters here. Burnley have attacking options across the front line and have been encouraged to chase a third goal rather than retreat into a low block. Bruun Larsen and Ramazani are in scoring form, but Ahmedhodžić's concussion absence forces a defensive change.

Wolves have lost their last two league games, conceding four goals, but they remain capable of contributing through Fer López, Bellegarde and their wide play. Armstrong and Jiménez being out makes a Wolves win harder to call, so the combined goals market is preferable to picking a match winner. At 2.10, it reflects the attacking upside on both sides.

Form & Recent Matches

Newest match first.

Burnley

DWDLD

13 Oct 2026HCharlton Athletic
Championship2-2D
10 Oct 2026AWatford
Championship4-0W
19 Sep 2026HDerby County
Championship1-1D
12 Sep 2026ASwansea City
Championship1-3L
8 Sep 2026AWrexham
Championship1-1D

Wolves

LLWWD

13 Oct 2026HBolton Wanderers
Championship1-3L
10 Oct 2026AMiddlesbrough
Championship0-1L
20 Sep 2026HWest Bromwich Albion
Championship1-0W
13 Sep 2026ASheffield United
Championship1-0W
6 Sep 2026ABirmingham City
Championship2-2D

Match Statistics

Last 10 Matches

Burnley1 W · 5 D · 4 L

1.50Avg goals scored

1.90Avg goals conceded

1/10Clean sheets

1Wins

5Draws

4Losses

Wolves5 W · 1 D · 4 L

1.60Avg goals scored

1.30Avg goals conceded

3/10Clean sheets

5Wins

1Draws

4Losses

GoalsBTTSHalf TimeClean SheetsForm

Statistic	Burnley	Wolves
Avg goals scored	1.50	1.60
Avg goals conceded	1.90	1.30
Scored 0 goals	0/10	2/10
Scored 1 goal	7/10	3/10
Scored 2 goals	2/10	3/10
Scored 3+ goals	1/10	2/10
Conceded 0 goals	1/10	3/10
Conceded 1 goal	3/10	4/10
Conceded 2 goals	3/10	1/10
Conceded 3+ goals	3/10	2/10

Statistic	Burnley	Wolves
BTTS — Yes	9/10	5/10
BTTS — No	1/10	5/10

Half-time data unavailable.

Statistic	Burnley	Wolves
Clean sheets	1/10	3/10
Failed to keep a clean sheet	9/10	7/10

Burnley

DWDLDLDLLD

1 Wins · 5 Draws · 4 Losses

Wolves

LLWLWDLWWW

5 Wins · 1 Draws · 4 Losses

Newest match first.

Form Analysis

Recent Form

How both teams have been performing.

Burnley

Home team

Form Outlook

Burnley have only one win from 10 Championship matches, but their recent attacking output has improved. The 4-0 win at Watford was followed by a 2-2 draw with Charlton, with Bruun Larsen scoring in both fixtures and Ramazani also on target in the latest home game.

The larger concern is at the other end. Burnley have kept only one clean sheet in 10 league matches and have conceded in every home league fixture. Their five home games have brought four draws and one defeat, a sequence which underlines both their competitive edge and their inability to close matches out.

Wolves

Away team

Form Outlook

Wolves have slipped to consecutive league defeats after an encouraging run that included wins over Sheffield United and West Brom. They created opportunities against Bolton but were beaten 3-1 at Molineux, with Peixoto highlighting the need for greater sharpness in both penalty areas.

Their away league record is balanced at two wins, one draw and two defeats, with eight goals scored and eight conceded. Wolves can travel well when their attacking midfielders find space, but the absence of Armstrong and Jiménez leaves them short of established centre-forward options for this trip.

Team News

Squad Update

Latest squad information before kick-off.

Burnley

Home team

Squad Status

Anel Ahmedhodžić is out after suffering a concussion and must complete a 12-day protocol. Hjalmar Ekdal is the most direct replacement at centre-back, although Max Alleyne could also drop back from midfield.

Zeki Amdouni missed the Charlton match through injury, while Josh Cullen was absent from the two post-break league fixtures after a setback. Jamie Vardy started against Charlton, with Armando Broja his direct replacement from the bench.

Wolves

Away team

Squad Status

Adam Armstrong is ruled out with a back problem and Raúl Jiménez faces a lengthy absence after a left MCL injury that requires surgery. Sean Neave is therefore a credible candidate to start at centre-forward.

Rodrigo Gomes, Bertrand Traoré, Boubacar Traoré and Yerson Mosquera are also unavailable or doubtful. Wolves are playing their third match in seven days, so Peixoto may rotate his side, with André, Bellegarde, Krejčí and Hugo Bueno among the players who could return.

Tactical Analysis

Tactical Outlook

BurnleyHome

Tactical matchup

WolvesAway

Tactical Outlook

Both managers have recently used a 4-2-3-1, so the contest could hinge on which side controls the spaces around the double pivots. Burnley will want Hatate and Alleyne to move the ball quickly into Laurent, Bruun Larsen and Ramazani, while Wolves will try to create overloads wide through Trippier and their attacking midfielders.

Burnley's wide attackers are likely to test Wolves' full-backs, particularly when the home side regain possession high up the pitch. Bruun Larsen has scored in consecutive league games and Ramazani's direct running can pull a defensive unit out of shape. Wolves, meanwhile, have focused on getting deliveries into the area, an approach that can test Burnley's altered central defence.

The forward absences reduce Wolves' natural presence through the middle, but they may also encourage more movement from López, Bellegarde and Mané. That could make the match less structured, especially if Burnley take the lead and continue to pursue another goal rather than sit deep.

H2H

Head-to-Head

Previous meetings between the two teams.

24 May 2026Premier LeagueVenue: BurnleyBurnley1–1Wolves
5 Mar 2016ChampionshipVenue: BurnleyBurnley1–1Wolves

Expected Starting XI

Team Lineups

Projected starting lineups for both teams.

BurnleyFormation 4-2-3-1

WolvesFormation 4-2-3-1

Players to Watch

Key Players

Players who could have an important influence on the match.

Burnley

Home team

Jacob Bruun LarsenLW
Has scored in each of Burnley's last two league games and offers a direct threat when cutting in from the left.
Largie RamazaniRW
Scored against Charlton and can stretch Wolves with his pace and dribbling from the right.
Reo HatateCM
Adds progression and late runs from midfield, having scored in the win at Watford.
Jamie VardyST
Expected to lead the line and remains a sharp penalty-box option if Burnley create early chances.

Wolves

Away team

Fer LópezRW
Wolves' leading current attacking contributor, with four Championship goals this season.
Jean-Ricner BellegardeAM
Scored against Bolton and can operate between the lines or move wide during attacks.
Kieran TrippierRB
His delivery and experience can be important against Burnley's reshaped defence.
Sean NeaveST
May receive his first Championship start and has a major opportunity with Wolves short of senior strikers.

What the Numbers Tell Us

Data Insight

What the recent numbers suggest about the matchup.

Our Reading of the Data

Burnley's league numbers make the strongest case for goals. Their last 10 Championship matches have produced 15 goals scored and 19 conceded, with over 2.5 goals landing in seven games and BTTS in nine. At Turf Moor, both teams have scored in all five league fixtures this season.

Wolves are less consistent on the same measures, but their nine league matches have still featured 16 goals scored and 14 conceded. Six of those matches have gone over 2.5 goals and six have seen BTTS. Their last two defeats brought four goals conceded, which adds to the case for Burnley to score.

The caveat is Wolves' shortage at centre-forward. Yet Burnley's defensive record and Ahmedhodžić's absence mean the visitors do not need a dominant display to find one goal. That keeps the Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes angle stronger than a straightforward result bet.

Final Verdict

Editorial

Our ConclusionBurnleyvsWolves

Burnley have not converted enough draws into wins, but their home matches have consistently produced goals at both ends. With Bruun Larsen and Ramazani in form, the Clarets should create enough to score against a Wolves defence that has conceded four times in two games.

Wolves are missing Armstrong and Jiménez, but López and Bellegarde can still carry a threat against a Burnley side forced into a defensive change. Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes at 2.10 is the FreeOddsTips selection, with a 2-1 home win the predicted score.