Como vs Sassuolo Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

FreeOddsTips Verdict

Updated 23 Oct 2026

PredictionComo Asian Handicap -1.5

Best Odds2.20

Value BetOver 2.5 Goals

Confidence★★★★☆

Best available price · 18+ · Play responsiblyBet Como Asian Handicap -1.5 @ 2.20

Written by GüvenSports Betting & Product Specialist

Updated 23 October 2026 · 2 min read

Como welcome Sassuolo to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on Saturday 24 October with Cesc Fàbregas’ side carrying real attacking confidence. Fifth after seven Serie A matches, Como have followed a 3-1 win at Fiorentina with an eye-catching 4-1 Champions League victory over Manchester United.

The hosts have been playing bold, fluent football, with Nicolás Paz and Anastasios Douvikas central to their recent threat. That attacking level makes Como Asian Handicap -1.5 the FreeOddsTips prediction at 2.20.

Sassuolo travel after a 4-2 defeat at Frosinone and remain without an away league win this season. Alberto Aquilani’s side have enough attacking talent through Domenico Berardi and Armand Laurienté to cause problems, but their defensive record on the road has been a major concern.

Como must manage the short turnaround after their European win, yet their home performances have been convincing. Sassuolo’s depleted defensive options and tendency to concede chances make a home win by two or more goals a realistic outcome.

Match Preview

Fàbregas has built a proactive 4-2-3-1 around possession, rotations between the lines and Paz’s ability to receive in dangerous central areas. Douvikas has scored in each of Como’s last two matches, while Lucas Da Cunha, Martin Baturina and Maxence Caqueret give the home side several ways to progress through midfield.

Sassuolo can hurt Como if Berardi and Laurienté are released quickly into the wide channels, but Aquilani’s team have conceded 10 goals across four away league games. With centre-back options limited and Muric under scrutiny after errors at Frosinone, Sassuolo may struggle to contain a Como side that have scored 10 goals in four competitive home matches.

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Our Best BetEditor’s Choice

Como Asian Handicap -1.5

Como have scored 10 goals in four home matches
Sassuolo have conceded 10 goals in four away games
Como's creators are in outstanding recent form

Best Odds2.20Decimal

18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgBet Como Asian Handicap -1.5 @ 2.20

Why Como Asian Handicap -1.5 Makes Sense

Como arrive on the back of consecutive 3-1 and 4-1 wins over Fiorentina and Manchester United. Their attacking football has been sharp, with Nicolás Paz scoring three times across those two matches and Douvikas scoring in both.

Sassuolo have scored in each of their last five competitive matches, but the defensive trade-off has been severe. They have lost three of four away league games, conceding at least two goals in every one, and their central defensive resources are stretched by injuries.

The -1.5 line needs Como to win by at least two, but it offers a better return than simply backing the home win. Sassuolo's wide forwards can produce a moment, although Como's ability to sustain attacks at home gives the hosts a strong route to a comfortable victory.

Form & Recent Matches

Newest match first.

Como

WWLDL

21 Oct 2026HManchester United
UEFA Champions League4-1W
18 Oct 2026AFiorentina
Serie A3-1W
14 Oct 2026AFeyenoord
UEFA Champions League2-3L
11 Oct 2026HRoma
Serie A0-0D
20 Sep 2026AFrosinone
Serie A0-2L

Sassuolo

LDLWD

16 Oct 2026AFrosinone
Serie A2-4L
11 Oct 2026HMilan
Serie A1-1D
18 Sep 2026AMonza
Serie A1-2L
13 Sep 2026HJuventus
Serie A3-2W
6 Sep 2026ABologna
Serie A2-2D

Match Statistics

Last 10 Matches

Como2 W · 1 D · 2 L

1.80Avg goals scored

1.40Avg goals conceded

1/5Clean sheets

2Wins

1Draws

2Losses

Based on 5 completed matches (fewer than 10 available).

Sassuolo1 W · 2 D · 3 L

1.50Avg goals scored

2.33Avg goals conceded

0/6Clean sheets

1Wins

2Draws

3Losses

Based on 6 completed matches (fewer than 10 available).

GoalsBTTSHalf TimeClean SheetsForm

Statistic	Como	Sassuolo
Avg goals scored	1.80	1.50
Avg goals conceded	1.40	2.33
Scored 0 goals	2/5	1/6
Scored 1 goal	0/5	2/6
Scored 2 goals	1/5	2/6
Scored 3+ goals	2/5	1/6
Conceded 0 goals	1/5	0/6
Conceded 1 goal	2/5	1/6
Conceded 2 goals	1/5	3/6
Conceded 3+ goals	1/5	2/6

Statistic	Como	Sassuolo
BTTS — Yes	3/5	5/6
BTTS — No	2/5	1/6

Half-time data unavailable.

Statistic	Como	Sassuolo
Clean sheets	1/5	0/6
Failed to keep a clean sheet	4/5	6/6

Como

WWLDL

2 Wins · 1 Draws · 2 Losses

Sassuolo

LDLWDL

1 Wins · 2 Draws · 3 Losses

Newest match first.

Form Analysis

Recent Form

How both teams have been performing.

Como

Home team

Form Outlook

Como's wider 10-match record of six wins, two draws and two defeats reflects the progress under Fàbregas. They have scored 22 goals across that run and their recent wins at Fiorentina and against Manchester United showed that their attacking approach can travel as well as dominate at home.

The only concern is defensive control: Como have managed one clean sheet in their last 10 competitive games. However, their home results have been excellent, with three wins and a draw from four competitive fixtures and 10 goals scored.

Sassuolo

Away team

Form Outlook

Sassuolo's results have been open and inconsistent. They have scored in each of their last five competitive matches, including against Juventus, Milan and Frosinone, but they have conceded 11 goals over the same sequence.

Their away league record is the clearest warning sign ahead of this trip. Sassuolo have taken one point from four away matches, conceded 10 goals and are winless in their last 10 away games overall.

Team News

Squad Update

Latest squad information before kick-off.

Como

Home team

Squad Status

Trevoh Chalobah remains unavailable, leaving Jacobo Ramón and Marc-Oliver Kempf as the likely central-defensive pairing. Assane Diao and Jesús Rodríguez are also unavailable, while Mattia Liberali is being assessed after an issue in the warm-up before the Manchester United match.

Moise Kean is back in the squad picture but is more likely to begin among the substitutes. Jean Butez is narrowly favoured over Robert Sánchez in goal, while Douvikas should retain the striker role after scoring in his last two appearances.

Sassuolo

Away team

Squad Status

Sassuolo are without long-term absentee Fedde Leysen. Jay Idzes, Ismaël Koné, Daniel Boloca, Edoardo Pieragnolo and Yeferson Paz are listed as unavailable or doubtful, reducing Aquilani's options in defence and midfield.

Muric is expected to continue in goal despite a difficult display at Frosinone, with Aquilani publicly backing him. Vasilije Adžić is in contention to return to the midfield, while Esposito is narrowly favoured over Kieron Bowie at centre-forward.

Tactical Analysis

Tactical Outlook

ComoHome

Tactical matchup

SassuoloAway

Tactical Outlook

Como are expected to retain their 4-2-3-1, with Perrone and Da Cunha helping them control possession before Paz, Baturina and Caqueret rotate around Douvikas. Their best spells have come when Paz can receive between midfield and defence, drawing centre-backs out before releasing runners or combining around the box.

Sassuolo may use a 4-3-3, with Berardi and Laurienté giving them direct outlets either side of Esposito. Their route into the game is likely to be fast attacks after turnovers, particularly into the space behind Como's advanced full-backs.

The key contest is whether Sassuolo's midfield can disrupt Como's circulation. Matić offers experience, but Como have several technical options in the central areas and should be able to pin Sassuolo back if they establish their passing rhythm. Sassuolo's vulnerable back line could then be exposed by repeated deliveries and cut-backs into Douvikas and Paz.

H2H

Head-to-Head

Previous meetings between the two teams.

17 Apr 2026Serie AVenue: SassuoloComo1–2Sassuolo
28 Nov 2025Serie AVenue: ComoComo2–0Sassuolo
24 Sep 2025Coppa ItaliaVenue: ComoComo3–0Sassuolo

Expected Starting XI

Team Lineups

Projected starting lineups for both teams.

ComoFormation 4-2-3-1

SassuoloFormation 4-3-3

Players to Watch

Key Players

Players who could have an important influence on the match.

Como

Home team

Nicolás PazAM
Scored twice against Manchester United and remains Como's main creator between the lines.
Anastasios DouvikasST
Has scored in each of Como's last two competitive matches and leads the line well.
Lucas Da CunhaCM
A vital link in Como's possession game who can dictate the tempo from midfield.
Martin BaturinaLW
Offers close control and combination play around Paz and Douvikas.
Jacobo RamónCB
Important in a depleted defence and scored against Manchester United.

Sassuolo

Away team

Domenico BerardiRW
Sassuolo's key attacking reference scored in the defeat at Frosinone.
Armand LaurientéLW
His pace and direct running can threaten the space left by Como's advancing full-backs.
Kristian ThorstvedtCM
Arrives late into attacking areas and scored in Sassuolo's latest match.
Sebastiano EspositoST
Expected to lead the line and can connect Sassuolo's wide attackers.
Nemanja MatićDM
His ability to protect the defence will be vital against Como's rotating attackers.

What the Numbers Tell Us

Data Insight

What the recent numbers suggest about the matchup.

Our Reading of the Data

Como have scored 22 goals in their last 10 competitive matches, averaging 2.20 per game. Seven of those 10 games finished above 2.5 goals, which fits a side that have been increasingly assertive under Fàbregas.

Sassuolo's away numbers are even more telling for this match. All four of their away league games have produced more than 2.5 goals, with Sassuolo scoring six but conceding 10. They can contribute going forward, but they have not found a way to keep opponents under control on the road.

Both teams have regularly been involved in open matches, but the home and away splits point towards Como having the greater attacking platform. That supports the handicap rather than relying solely on a goal market.

Final Verdict

Editorial

Our ConclusionComovsSassuolo

Como have the stronger recent performances, a settled attacking structure and a home record that includes 4-1 wins over RB Leipzig and Manchester United. Paz and Douvikas are in form, while Sassuolo arrive with defensive absences and no away league victory this season.

Berardi and Laurienté mean Sassuolo cannot be dismissed completely, but their away defence has repeatedly been exposed. Como Asian Handicap -1.5 at 2.20 is the selection, with the hosts backed to turn their superior control into a 3-0 victory.