Fulham host Crystal Palace at Craven Cottage on Wednesday night with a place in the EFL Cup quarter-finals on the line. It is a quick return to the venue where Palace won a dramatic 3-2 Premier League meeting in September, but the circumstances now look rather different.
Álvaro Arbeloa’s Fulham arrive on the back of successive 1-0 league wins over Hull City and Coventry City. Those results have brought greater control to their performances, while the Cottagers also showed their cup depth by winning 3-2 away at West Ham in the previous round.
Palace have had a far more demanding October schedule. Pierre Sage’s side travel to west London after Europa League action in Istanbul and a home defeat to Newcastle, following a heavy loss at Brighton. Rotation is expected again, especially with Palace playing their third match in six days.
FreeOddsTips is backing Fulham to Win at 2.25. Palace have already proved they can hurt Fulham, but the home side look fresher, more settled defensively and better placed to manage the changes likely on both teams.
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Fulham have used a 4-2-3-1 under Arbeloa, with the recent league side controlling possession through the midfield pairing and using Oscar Bobb, Josh King and Alex Iwobi around the striker. The cup XI could be changed, as it was at West Ham, but Rodrigo Muniz, Emile Smith Rowe, César Palacios and Kevin give the hosts capable alternatives rather than simply inexperienced cover.
Palace’s 3-4-2-1 can create overloads in wide areas, particularly through Tyrick Mitchell and their inside forwards, while Adam Wharton’s delivery remains a danger from dead balls. Yet the visitors have conceded 12 goals in their last five competitive matches and could again be short of continuity at the back after a busy run and substantial summer turnover. Fulham should have enough control and attacking depth to edge a competitive tie, with a 2-1 home win the preferred correct-score angle.
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