Holywell vs TNS Prediction, Betting Tips, Odds & Preview

FreeOddsTips Verdict

Updated 9 Oct 2026

PredictionTNS Asian Handicap -4

Best Odds2.20

Value BetOver 3.5 Goals

Confidence★★★★☆

Best available price · 18+ · Play responsiblyBet TNS Asian Handicap -4 @ 2.20

Written by GüvenSports Betting & Product Specialist

Updated 9 October 2026 · 2 min read

Holywell Town host Cymru Premier leaders TNS on Friday night with the sides entering the game at opposite ends of the table. The newly promoted home side are still chasing their first league win, while Craig Harrison’s TNS have taken 34 points from a possible 36.

The New Saints arrive on the back of a remarkable 9-0 win over Cambrian United, their 11th straight league victory after an opening-day draw. Their attacking options were ruthless in that match, with Brad Young, Rhys Hughes and Rory Holden all among the goals.

Holywell have competed in spells and Florian Yonsian has been a reliable scorer, but the defensive record is hard to ignore. Johnny Haseldin’s team have conceded 38 times in 12 league games and are yet to keep a clean sheet.

FreeOddsTips’ prediction is TNS Asian Handicap -4 at 2.20. The line asks the champions to win by five or more for a full return, while a four-goal margin would result in a push.

Match Preview

TNS have been setting the pace in Wales through a blend of control and relentless attacking output. They scored 31 goals across their last six league matches, and the 9-0 dismantling of Cambrian showed how quickly their advanced players can turn territorial dominance into a one-sided scoreline. Young struck twice, Hughes scored twice and Holden also registered a brace, underlining the depth available to Harrison.

Holywell’s likely route to an upset is through direct service into Yonsian, who has scored six league goals and found the net in each of his last two appearances. Yet TNS have conceded only five league goals all season and have six clean sheets in their last 10 league fixtures. If the visitors establish their usual early pressure through wide combinations and crosses, Holywell’s back line could face another long evening.

The hosts have conceded at least three goals in six of their 12 league games, including five at home to Colwyn Bay. TNS have no immediate fixture after this trip and should be able to name a strong side. With the leaders in such devastating scoring form, the handicap is the preferred route rather than settling for a short-priced away win.

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Our Best BetEditor’s Choice

TNS Asian Handicap -4

TNS have won 11 consecutive league matches
Holywell have conceded 38 goals in 12 games
TNS scored nine goals in their latest league game

Best Odds2.20Decimal

18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgBet TNS Asian Handicap -4 @ 2.20

Why TNS Asian Handicap -4 Makes Sense

The gulf in current league output is stark. TNS are unbeaten after 12 matches, have scored 38 goals and conceded only five, while Holywell sit bottom with no wins, two points and 38 goals against. The visitors have also won their last 11 league fixtures after drawing the opener.

Harrison’s side have been especially destructive recently, scoring 31 goals across their last six league matches. Brad Young, Rhys Hughes, Rory Holden and Josh Lock all made decisive contributions in the 9-0 win over Cambrian, and TNS have options such as Isaac Jefferies and Jordan Williams from the bench.

Holywell can threaten through Florian Yonsian, but they have no clean sheet in 12 league matches and have already conceded five goals at home twice this season. At 2.20, TNS Asian Handicap -4 is an aggressive selection, but it suits a matchup in which the champions can keep attacking even after taking control. A four-goal win returns stakes, while five or more delivers the full win.

Form & Recent Matches

Newest match first.

Holywell

LDLLL

03 Oct 2026AAmmanford
Cymru Premier1-2L
26 Sep 2026HBriton Ferry Llansawel
Cymru Premier1-1D
18 Sep 2026AHaverfordwest County
Cymru Premier0-1L
15 Sep 2026HColwyn Bay
Cymru Premier0-5L
11 Sep 2026ACambrian United
Cymru Premier1-2L

TNS

WWWWW

03 Oct 2026HCambrian United
Cymru Premier9-0W
26 Sep 2026ATrefelin BGC
Cymru Premier3-1W
19 Sep 2026HLlandudno
Cymru Premier2-1W
15 Sep 2026HFlint Town United
Cymru Premier5-0W
11 Sep 2026AAirbus UK Broughton
Cymru Premier2-0W

Match Statistics

Last 10 Matches

Holywell0 W · 2 D · 8 L

1.10Avg goals scored

2.90Avg goals conceded

0/10Clean sheets

0Wins

2Draws

8Losses

TNS10 W · 0 D · 0 L

3.60Avg goals scored

0.50Avg goals conceded

6/10Clean sheets

10Wins

0Draws

0Losses

GoalsBTTSHalf TimeClean SheetsForm

Statistic	Holywell	TNS
Avg goals scored	1.10	3.60
Avg goals conceded	2.90	0.50
Scored 0 goals	2/10	0/10
Scored 1 goal	6/10	2/10
Scored 2 goals	1/10	2/10
Scored 3+ goals	1/10	6/10
Conceded 0 goals	0/10	6/10
Conceded 1 goal	3/10	3/10
Conceded 2 goals	2/10	1/10
Conceded 3+ goals	5/10	0/10

Statistic	Holywell	TNS
BTTS — Yes	8/10	4/10
BTTS — No	2/10	6/10

Half-time data unavailable.

Statistic	Holywell	TNS
Clean sheets	0/10	6/10
Failed to keep a clean sheet	10/10	4/10

Holywell

LDLLLDLLLL

0 Wins · 2 Draws · 8 Losses

TNS

WWWWWWWWWW

10 Wins · 0 Draws · 0 Losses

Newest match first.

Form Analysis

Recent Form

How both teams have been performing.

Holywell

Home team

Form Outlook

Holywell are without a league win after 12 matches and their recent run reads two draws and eight defeats across the last 10. They have scored in eight of those games, so there is a route to goal through Yonsian and the supporting attack, but conceding 29 times across that spell has left them with little margin for error.

The home record is also a concern. Holywell have taken two points from six home fixtures, conceded 18 goals and kept no clean sheets. Their 1-1 draw with Briton Ferry was a better defensive outcome, but the 5-0 loss to Colwyn Bay illustrates how quickly games can get away from them against strong attacking sides.

TNS

Away team

Form Outlook

TNS have won each of their last 10 league fixtures, scoring 36 goals and conceding five. Their latest 9-0 victory over Cambrian was not an isolated outlier: they had already scored five against Flint Town United, Colwyn Bay and Cardiff Met during the same run.

Away form has been strong as well, with five wins and one draw from six league trips. TNS have scored 14 away goals and conceded only three, while four successive away wins have followed the opening draw at Penybont.

Team News

Squad Update

Latest squad information before kick-off.

Holywell

Home team

Squad Status

No confirmed injury or suspension absence was identified for Holywell before this fixture. The latest XI at Ammanford featured Alex Swindell, Danny Sullivan, Jack Tierney, Harvey Morris, Ryan Edwards, Tom Bibby, Caio Hughes, Jack Sconce, Fabrizio Murtas, Florian Yonsian and Owen Davies.

Alec Mudimu, Casey Bedford, Dominic McGiveron, Taner Dogan, Jamie Reed and Mark Winslade are among the alternatives. Bibby, Sullivan and Yonsian are prominent in the club’s booking data, but no confirmed suspension was reported.

TNS

Away team

Squad Status

No reliable current injury update or confirmed suspension was found for TNS. Dynel Simeu was booked against Trefelin on 26 September but started the 9-0 win over Cambrian a week later.

TNS had six days to prepare after the Cambrian game and do not have another scheduled fixture until 23 October. The latest side featured Nathan Shepperd, Jack Bodenham, Simeu, Danny Davies, Dominic Corness, Danny Redmond, Dan Williams, Rory Holden, Josh Lock, Rhys Hughes and Brad Young, with strong bench options also available.

Tactical Analysis

Tactical Outlook

HolywellHome

Tactical matchup

TNSAway

Tactical Outlook

TNS have recently operated in a shape resembling a 3-4-3 or 3-4-2-1, although the club did not formally publish a formation. Their recent reports show an aggressive start, sustained possession, width and a regular supply of crosses or cut-backs for the advanced players. Lock, Hughes, Holden and Young combined repeatedly in the early stages against Cambrian.

Holywell’s precise formation is not reliably documented, but their latest personnel list contained three recognised defenders and three forwards. Their goal at Ammanford came from Ryan Edwards playing a direct long ball into Yonsian, so quick service into the striker is the clearest route to hurt TNS before their defensive structure is set.

The central issue is whether Holywell can withstand the early wave. TNS can create from open play, wide deliveries and set-piece routines, while their rotation options allow the tempo to remain high late on. If the visitors score early, Holywell may be forced to open up and leave more space around their defensive unit.

H2H

Head-to-Head

Previous meetings between the two teams.

29 Sep 2015Welsh League CupVenue: TNSHolywell1–7TNS
23 Jan 1999Cymru PremierVenue: TNSHolywell0–2TNS
19 Sep 1998Cymru PremierVenue: HolywellHolywell3–3TNS

Expected Starting XI

Team Lineups

Projected starting lineups for both teams.

HolywellFormation 3-4-3

TNSFormation 3-4-3

Players to Watch

Key Players

Players who could have an important influence on the match.

Holywell

Home team

Florian YonsianST
Holywell’s leading scorer with six league goals and goals in his last two matches.
Ryan EdwardsCM
His direct pass created Yonsian’s early goal at Ammanford.
Alex SwindellGK
Has started all 12 league games and faces a demanding test against the division’s top scorers.
Caio HughesRW
A direct wide attacker with two league goals this season.

TNS

Away team

Brad YoungST
Scored three goals across the last two league matches, including a brace against Cambrian.
Rhys HughesLW
Has three goals in two games and also created Young’s second goal against Cambrian.
Rory HoldenAM
Three goals in his last two league appearances and an assist for Lock in the 9-0 win.
Josh LockRWB
Scored and assisted against Cambrian after recent creative output against Flint and Trefelin.
Dominic CornessCM
Influential in possession and has created danger from set-piece routines.

What the Numbers Tell Us

Data Insight

What the recent numbers suggest about the matchup.

Our Reading of the Data

The last-10 comparison is as lopsided as the league table. TNS have won all 10 matches in that sequence, scoring 36 times at an average of 3.60 per game. They have kept six clean sheets and conceded only five goals in total.

Holywell have no win in their last 10 league games, conceding 29 goals at an average of 2.90 per match. They have also kept no clean sheet in that run. Seven of their last 10 matches have produced over 2.5 goals, and four of TNS’s last six league fixtures have contained at least five goals.

Holywell have scored in eight of their last 10, which makes an away clean sheet less certain than the handicap outcome. But the core statistical story remains TNS’s scoring ceiling against a side that has repeatedly struggled to contain opposition attacks.

Final Verdict

Editorial

Our ConclusionHolywellvsTNS

TNS have the form, depth and attacking momentum to make this a difficult night for Holywell. The leaders have won 11 league matches in a row, while Holywell remain winless and have allowed 38 goals in 12 fixtures.

TNS Asian Handicap -4 at 2.20 is the FreeOddsTips selection. It is a demanding line, but the visitors’ 9-0 win last time out and Holywell’s defensive record justify taking it. A 0-5 away win is the predicted score.