Como vs AS Roma Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

FreeOddsTips Verdict

Updated 8 Oct 2026

PredictionDraw X

Best Odds3.60

Value BetBoth Teams To Score

Confidence★★★☆☆

Best available price · 18+ · Play responsiblyBet Draw X @ 3.60

Written by GüvenSports Betting & Product Specialist

Updated 8 October 2026 · 2 min read

Como and AS Roma meet in a fascinating Serie A contest on 11 October, with both sides making an assertive start to the 2026/27 campaign. Cesc Fàbregas’s Como have taken 10 points from five league matches, while Gian Piero Gasperini’s Roma arrive top of the table after going unbeaten through their opening five rounds.

Roma have the stronger league position and an in-form centre-forward in Donyell Malen, but this is not a routine away assignment. Como have won both competitive home games so far, scoring six times, and they beat Roma 2-1 at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in March.

Both teams have enough attacking quality to make this open. Como have scored in every available competitive match this season but have not kept a clean sheet, while Roma surrendered a 2-0 lead against Inter in their most recent Serie A outing.

FreeOddsTips is backing the Draw at 3.60. Roma are capable of winning, but Como’s attacking threat at home and the visitors’ demanding Champions League schedule point towards a competitive game that neither side may fully control. Our predicted score is 2-2.

Match Preview

Como’s 2-0 loss at Frosinone was their first defeat in five months, yet it was not a passive display. Fàbregas felt his side created around seven scoring chances, but their open positioning allowed Frosinone room to counter. That is the obvious concern against Gasperini’s Roma, whose wing-backs push high and whose attacking unit can break quickly through Malen, Paulo Dybala, Matías Soulé and Manu Koné.

There is a flip side to that matchup. Roma’s aggressive approach can leave room behind the wing-backs, and Como have the players to exploit it. Nico Paz operates well between the lines, Assane Diao has already delivered goals and assists, and Martin Baturina has scored in successive league away wins. Roma’s likely absence of Bryan Cristante also removes an experienced midfield controller, while the looming visit of Real Madrid may affect the visitors’ selection and energy management. A high-quality, end-to-end draw makes sense.

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Our Best BetEditor’s Choice

Draw X

Como have won both competitive home games
Como have scored and conceded in all six games
Roma drew 2-2 after leading Inter 2-0

Best Odds3.60Decimal

18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgBet Draw X @ 3.60

Why Draw X Makes Sense

The draw price is worth attention because Como are far more than passive underdogs at home. Fàbregas's side have won both competitive fixtures at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia this season, scoring six goals, and their creative players have the quality to expose the spaces left by Roma's aggressive wing-backs.

Roma have started brilliantly and Malen is in outstanding scoring form, but their latest league match showed that they can lose control. They led Inter 2-0 before drawing 2-2, while Cristante's knee issue could force a midfield change. With Real Madrid to follow three days later, this is a demanding spot for Gasperini's side.

A Roma win remains a live outcome, which is why the straight draw is not a high-confidence selection. At 3.60, though, the balance of Como's home threat, both teams' attacking profiles and the visitors' scheduling demands makes X the preferred call.

Form & Recent Matches

Newest match first.

Como

LWWWW

20 Sep 2026AFrosinone
Serie A0-2L
14 Sep 2026HParma
Serie A2-1W
10 Sep 2026HRB Leipzig
UEFA Champions League4-1W
04 Sep 2026AGenoa
Serie A4-1W
30 Aug 2026ANapoli
Serie A2-1W

AS Roma

DWDWW

19 Sep 2026HInter
Serie A2-2D
14 Sep 2026ATorino
Serie A2-0W
10 Sep 2026AFenerbahçe
UEFA Champions League1-1D
05 Sep 2026HAtalanta
Serie A2-1W
31 Aug 2026ALecce
Serie A4-0W

Match Statistics

Last 10 Matches

Como4 W · 1 D · 1 L

2.17Avg goals scored

1.17Avg goals conceded

0/6Clean sheets

4Wins

1Draws

1Losses

Based on 6 completed matches (fewer than 10 available).

AS Roma4 W · 2 D · 0 L

2.50Avg goals scored

0.67Avg goals conceded

3/6Clean sheets

4Wins

2Draws

0Losses

Based on 6 completed matches (fewer than 10 available).

GoalsBTTSHalf TimeClean SheetsForm

Statistic	Como	AS Roma
Avg goals scored	2.17	2.50
Avg goals conceded	1.17	0.67
Scored 0 goals	1/6	0/6
Scored 1 goal	1/6	1/6
Scored 2 goals	2/6	3/6
Scored 3+ goals	2/6	2/6
Conceded 0 goals	0/6	3/6
Conceded 1 goal	5/6	2/6
Conceded 2 goals	1/6	1/6
Conceded 3+ goals	0/6	0/6

Statistic	Como	AS Roma
BTTS — Yes	5/6	3/6
BTTS — No	1/6	3/6

Statistic	Como	AS Roma
HT Win	–	1/1
HT Draw	–	0/1
HT Loss	–	0/1

Half-time data unavailable for Como.

AS Roma: based on 1 of 6 matches with half-time data.

Statistic	Como	AS Roma
Clean sheets	0/6	3/6
Failed to keep a clean sheet	6/6	3/6

Como

LWWWWD

4 Wins · 1 Draws · 1 Losses

AS Roma

DWDWWW

4 Wins · 2 Draws · 0 Losses

Newest match first.

Form Analysis

Recent Form

How both teams have been performing.

Como

Home team

Form Outlook

Como's latest defeat at Frosinone stopped an excellent early run, but it should be read with some context. They created chances and were denied repeatedly by the Frosinone goalkeeper, even if their transition defending was too loose.

Their attacking output has been lively throughout the available six-match sample: 13 goals scored and a goal in every game. The trade-off is that they have conceded in all six, a pattern that makes a controlled low-scoring win difficult to trust.

AS Roma

Away team

Form Outlook

Roma have made an unbeaten start across league and Champions League football, winning four of six competitive matches and scoring 17 goals. Malen's finishing has been central, while Dybala, Soulé and Koné give Gasperini several ways to create chances.

Their away form has been especially strong, with two wins and one draw from three competitive trips. Still, the 2-2 draw with Inter exposed a vulnerability once their high-energy first-half press dropped in intensity.

Team News

Squad Update

Latest squad information before kick-off.

Como

Home team

Squad Status

No confirmed Como injury or suspension for this match was identified in the available club material. The latest matchday squad was broad, with Kempf, Caqueret, Dossena, Goldaniga, Smolčić, Liberali, Addai and Kambwala among the available options.

Kean is a credible alternative to Douvikas up front, while Ricci or Perrone could challenge for a midfield place. Kaiki is another option at left-back after scoring against Parma.

AS Roma

Away team

Squad Status

Cristante is doubtful and likely to miss out because of a right-knee problem. De Roon is the expected replacement alongside Koné in central midfield.

Balerdi's fitness requires monitoring after he was withdrawn against Inter, although he has not been confirmed unavailable. Malen and Wesley have had limited group-training involvement, but current projections have both starting. Roma have no listed suspension concerns.

Tactical Analysis

Tactical Outlook

ComoHome

Tactical matchup

AS RomaAway

Tactical Outlook

Como are expected to use a 4-2-3-1 built around possession, with Nico Paz finding space between Roma's midfield and back three. Couto and Valle provide width, while Diao and Baturina can attack the channels when Roma's wing-backs advance. Como's main task is avoiding the loose rest-defence that Frosinone exploited on the counterattack.

Roma's 3-4-2-1 is designed to press high and get Dybala and the second attacking midfielder close to Malen. Koné's forward carries and Molina's delivery can put Como under sustained pressure, but the system also asks a lot of the wing-backs. If Como play through or around the first press, Paz and Baturina could find useful space in transition.

The midfield battle carries extra importance if Cristante misses out. De Roon brings experience, but Roma may have less continuity in the centre against a Como side that want to dictate the ball. Both defences have shown enough vulnerability to make chances at each end likely.

H2H

Head-to-Head

Previous meetings between the two teams.

15 Mar 2026Serie AVenue: ComoComo2–1AS Roma
15 Dec 2025Serie AVenue: AS RomaComo0–1AS Roma
02 Mar 2025Serie AVenue: AS RomaComo1–2AS Roma
15 Dec 2024Serie AVenue: ComoComo2–0AS Roma

Expected Starting XI

Team Lineups

Projected starting lineups for both teams.

ComoFormation 4-2-3-1

AS RomaFormation 3-4-2-1

Players to Watch

Key Players

Players who could have an important influence on the match.

Como

Home team

Nico PazAM
Como's main creator and a threat when he receives between Roma's midfield and defence.
Assane DiaoRW
Has already scored twice at Genoa and can exploit space behind Roma's left side.
Martin BaturinaLW
Scored in consecutive league away wins and brings composure around the box.
Tasos DouvikasST
Has scored in both of his first two league starts and leads the line well.
Lucas Da CunhaCM
The captain sets Como's midfield rhythm and is vital to their control after turnovers.

AS Roma

Away team

Donyell MalenST
Roma's leading league scorer, with six Serie A goals in the opening five matches.
Manu KonéCM
Scored both goals against Inter and drives Roma forward from midfield.
Paulo DybalaAM
Supplies craft between the lines and created Roma's second goal against Inter.
Nahuel MolinaRWB
Assisted Koné against Inter and provides a major source of width and delivery.
Evan NdickaCB
Could return to the back three and will be tested by Como's mobile attacking line.

What the Numbers Tell Us

Data Insight

What the recent numbers suggest about the matchup.

Our Reading of the Data

Como's available six-match competitive sample points strongly towards goals. They have scored 13 and conceded seven, with both teams scoring in every match. Their first five Serie A fixtures have all featured a Como goal conceded.

Roma have been more controlled overall, conceding only four across six competitive matches and keeping three clean sheets. Yet their most recent league game finished 2-2, and their high pressing approach can produce a more open contest when the opposition break the first wave.

The home and away splits add balance to the draw case. Como have won both home fixtures, while Roma are unbeaten on their travels. Neither team arrives with a profile that makes a one-sided result easy to project.

Final Verdict

Editorial

Our ConclusionComovsAS Roma

Roma deserve respect as league leaders and carry the sharper defensive record, but Como have made the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia a difficult place to visit. Their pace and creativity can hurt a Roma side that commits wing-backs forward, especially if Cristante is unavailable in midfield.

The visitors have enough firepower to score, yet Como have also scored in every competitive game this season and beat Roma here in March. Draw X at 3.60 is the selection, with a 2-2 correct score matching the likely open pattern.