Hull vs Brentford Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

FreeOddsTips Verdict

Updated 23 Oct 2026

PredictionHull Asian Handicap +0.5

Best Odds2.25

Value BetUnder 2.5 Goals

Confidence★★★☆☆

Best available price · 18+ · Play responsiblyBet Hull Asian Handicap +0.5 @ 2.25

Written by GüvenSports Betting & Product Specialist

Updated 23 October 2026 · 2 min read

Hull City return to the MKM Stadium on Sunday 25 October looking to halt a three-match league run which has brought only one point. Sergej Jakirovic’s newly promoted side were well below their usual level in the 1-0 defeat at Fulham, but their home performances have been far more dependable.

Brentford sit one point above Hull after seven games and have scored in every Premier League fixture so far. Yet Keith Andrews takes his side to East Yorkshire without both Yehor Yarmoliuk and Vitaly Janelt, who were sent off in the defeat to Liverpool.

That midfield disruption matters against a Hull side set up to stay compact, compete for second balls and attack quickly through the wide areas. The Tigers are unbeaten in three Premier League home matches, having conceded only twice at the MKM Stadium.

FreeOddsTips’ prediction is Hull Asian Handicap +0.5 at 2.25. The line pays out if Hull win or draw, and the 1-1 correct-score call reflects a game in which Brentford may have plenty of the ball without finding an easy route through.

Match Preview

Hull’s 5-4-1 gives them numbers around the penalty area, while Oli McBurnie provides a direct outlet when they regain possession. Mohamed Belloumi and Sorba Thomas can carry the counter-attacking threat, and John Egan’s experience should be useful against Igor Thiago’s physical presence.

Brentford have been entertaining away from home, drawing 1-1 at Leeds and 2-2 at both Bournemouth and Aston Villa. Their creators, Mathias Jensen and Mikkel Damsgaard, will be asked to compensate for the absence of Janelt and Yarmoliuk, but Hull have already held Aston Villa and Everton at this ground. Brentford should create moments, although winning here looks a bigger ask than the market implies.

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Our Best BetEditor’s Choice

Hull Asian Handicap +0.5

Hull are unbeaten in three Premier League home games
Brentford's normal midfield pair are suspended
The +0.5 line covers a tight draw

Best Odds2.25Decimal

18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgBet Hull Asian Handicap +0.5 @ 2.25

Why Hull Asian Handicap +0.5 Makes Sense

Hull have not lost at the MKM Stadium in the league, taking five points from games against Manchester United, Aston Villa and Everton. Their 5-4-1 is built to deny space around the box, while McBurnie gives them a route out when Brentford push forward.

Brentford have opened the scoring in every league game, so they carry a genuine threat through Igor Thiago, Kevin Schade and their creative midfielders. However, all three of their league away games have finished level, and the visitors must replace both Vitaly Janelt and Yehor Yarmoliuk after their dismissals against Liverpool.

Hull do not need to win for this bet to land. At 2.25, Hull Asian Handicap +0.5 covers the draw as well as a home win, making it more appealing than trying to call an outright winner in a fixture that looks finely balanced.

Form & Recent Matches

Newest match first.

Hull

LDLDL

17 Oct 2026AFulham
Premier League0-1L
11 Oct 2026HEverton
Premier League2-2D
19 Sep 2026ANewcastle United
Premier League1-2L
12 Sep 2026AChelsea
Premier League2-2D
8 Sep 2026HSunderland
EFL Cup0-1L

Brentford

LDWWD

17 Oct 2026HLiverpool
Premier League1-2L
10 Oct 2026AAston Villa
Premier League2-2D
18 Sep 2026HChelsea
Premier League3-0W
15 Sep 2026AReading
Carabao Cup2-1W
12 Sep 2026ABournemouth
Premier League2-2D

Match Statistics

Last 10 Matches

Hull3 W · 4 D · 3 L

1.00Avg goals scored

0.90Avg goals conceded

4/10Clean sheets

3Wins

4Draws

3Losses

Brentford4 W · 5 D · 1 L

2.20Avg goals scored

1.10Avg goals conceded

2/10Clean sheets

4Wins

5Draws

1Losses

GoalsBTTSHalf TimeClean SheetsForm

Statistic	Hull	Brentford
Avg goals scored	1.00	2.20
Avg goals conceded	0.90	1.10
Scored 0 goals	3/10	0/10
Scored 1 goal	4/10	4/10
Scored 2 goals	3/10	3/10
Scored 3+ goals	0/10	3/10
Conceded 0 goals	4/10	2/10
Conceded 1 goal	3/10	5/10
Conceded 2 goals	3/10	3/10
Conceded 3+ goals	0/10	0/10

Statistic	Hull	Brentford
BTTS — Yes	4/10	8/10
BTTS — No	6/10	2/10

Half-time data unavailable.

Statistic	Hull	Brentford
Clean sheets	4/10	2/10
Failed to keep a clean sheet	6/10	8/10

Hull

LDLDLDWDWW

3 Wins · 4 Draws · 3 Losses

Brentford

LDWWDDDWWD

4 Wins · 5 Draws · 1 Losses

Newest match first.

Form Analysis

Recent Form

How both teams have been performing.

Hull

Home team

Form Outlook

Hull's league start has been competitive rather than spectacular. They began unbeaten in four matches, but the recent sequence of a 2-2 draw with Everton and a 1-0 loss at Fulham has exposed a lack of fluency in possession and chance creation.

The home evidence is more encouraging. Hull are unbeaten in four competitive matches at the MKM Stadium this season and have conceded only two league goals there. Jakirovic's compact setup gives them a reliable platform in these fixtures.

Brentford

Away team

Form Outlook

Brentford's first league defeat arrived against Liverpool, but they have still made a strong start under Keith Andrews. They have scored in every Premier League match and led in all seven, demonstrating the attacking threat available through Thiago, Schade and the wide players.

The concern is their away record. Brentford have drawn all three league trips, conceding five goals across them, and the suspensions to Janelt and Yarmoliuk remove the midfield partnership used most often this season.

Team News

Squad Update

Latest squad information before kick-off.

Hull

Home team

Squad Status

Hull remain without Charlie Hughes, Matt Targett, Eliot Matazo, Darko Gyabi and Ilyas Ansah. Nobel Mendy is also not expected to return for this match.

Mohamed-Ali Cho and Lucas Gourna-Douath have returned to training after missing the previous two games and could make the squad. Robinio Vaz is available after avoiding lasting damage from the late challenge at Fulham, while Hidemasa Morita has returned from the bench but is still building fitness.

Brentford

Away team

Squad Status

Brentford will be without Yehor Yarmoliuk and Vitaly Janelt after both were dismissed against Liverpool. Their absences force Andrews to alter his regular midfield structure.

Jannik Schuster has returned to training following illness and a knock, while Nathan Collins and Mathias Jensen have progressed in their recoveries. Josh Dasilva, Kaye Furo and Antoni Milambo are listed as injured by current independent previews.

Tactical Analysis

Tactical Outlook

HullHome

Tactical matchup

BrentfordAway

Tactical Outlook

Hull are expected to stay close to their 5-4-1, defending with a packed central area and accepting that Brentford will have more possession. The key for Jakirovic's side is turning clearances and recoveries into early passes towards McBurnie, then getting Belloumi, Thomas and the wing-backs forward quickly enough to support him.

Brentford have used several shapes under Andrews, but a 4-2-3-1 would make sense with Jensen and Sangare in central midfield and Damsgaard operating higher up. Jensen's passing and Damsgaard's movement between the lines will be important against Hull's compact block.

The visitors have dangerous aerial options in Thiago, Ajer and Kayode, including Kayode's long throws, but Hull's back five should be equipped to deal with a direct contest. Brentford's reshaped midfield may have more difficulty stopping Hull's transitions than their usual unit.

H2H

Head-to-Head

Previous meetings between the two teams.

1 Feb 2020ChampionshipVenue: HullHull1–5Brentford

Expected Starting XI

Team Lineups

Projected starting lineups for both teams.

HullFormation 5-4-1

BrentfordFormation 4-2-3-1

Players to Watch

Key Players

Players who could have an important influence on the match.

Hull

Home team

Oli McBurnieST
The focal point for direct balls and crosses, and Hull's main outlet under pressure.
Mohamed BelloumiRW
Hull's most productive current attacker with three goals and two assists across league and cup data.
John EganCB
The experienced centre-back will be central to containing Thiago and Brentford's aerial threat.
Konstantinos TzolakisGK
Made several important saves at Fulham and remains Hull's clear first-choice goalkeeper.

Brentford

Away team

Igor ThiagoST
A physical penalty-box reference who scored against Chelsea and assisted against Liverpool.
Kevin SchadeLW
Brentford's leading league scorer with three goals and a major transition threat.
Mathias JensenCM
His passing range and dead-ball delivery become even more important with Janelt and Yarmoliuk absent.
Mikkel DamsgaardAM
A likely source of the subtle passes Brentford need to break Hull's defensive block.

What the Numbers Tell Us

Data Insight

What the recent numbers suggest about the matchup.

Our Reading of the Data

Hull's early matches have generally been controlled. Only two of their nine competitive games this season have gone over 2.5 goals, and they have scored and conceded exactly nine across that sample. Their Premier League home record is W1-D2-L0, with four scored and only two conceded.

Brentford's wider recent numbers are more open, with both teams scoring in eight of their last 10 competitive games. Yet their three league away fixtures have all ended in draws, while Hull's home defensive record has been resilient. Those contrasting trends point towards a close contest rather than a convincing Brentford win.

Final Verdict

Editorial

Our ConclusionHullvsBrentford

Brentford have enough attacking quality to score, but their record of three league draws on the road is difficult to ignore. The loss of Janelt and Yarmoliuk also arrives at the wrong time against a Hull team that makes central areas crowded and turns matches into physical contests.

Hull were poor at Fulham, but this is a better setting for Jakirovic's approach. Their home form, defensive structure and Brentford's midfield absences make Hull Asian Handicap +0.5 the right call at 2.25. A 1-1 draw is the most likely outcome.