Hull vs Everton Prediction, Betting Tips, Odds & Preview

FreeOddsTips Verdict

Updated 8 Oct 2026

PredictionHull Asian Handicap +0.5

Best Odds2.70

Value BetUnder 2.5 Goals

Confidence★★★★☆

Best available price · 18+ · Play responsiblyBet Hull Asian Handicap +0.5 @ 2.70

Written by GüvenSports Betting & Product Specialist

Updated 8 October 2026 · 2 min read

Hull City return to Premier League action on Sunday 11 October when Everton visit the MKM Stadium. Just one point separates the clubs after five matches, with Everton seventh on nine points and Hull eighth on eight.

Sergej Jakirovic’s promoted side have made an impressively disciplined start, particularly at home. Hull have beaten Manchester United and drawn with Aston Villa at the MKM Stadium without conceding, while their compact five-man defence has made them difficult to separate.

Everton arrive unbeaten in five league matches under David Moyes, but their two league away trips have both finished level. They have been hard to break down, although their 1-0 win over Ipswich before the international break again showed a side creating plenty without always being clinical.

FreeOddsTips’ prediction is Hull Asian Handicap +0.5 at 2.70. The line pays if Hull win or draw, and a tight contest looks the most likely outcome, with 1-1 the correct-score call.

Match Preview

Hull’s 5-4-1 has been built to deny space centrally before releasing Mohamed Belloumi, Ryan Giles and the wide players quickly in transition. Oli McBurnie gives them a direct outlet, while Belloumi has been their most productive attacking player, scoring twice at Chelsea and assisting goals against Coventry and Newcastle.

Everton should have more of the ball through James Garner, Harrison Armstrong and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, but they will need to move it quickly enough to disrupt Hull’s back five. Thierno Barry is in strong early scoring form, yet Everton’s league away draws at Bournemouth and Tottenham underline why a routine away win should not be assumed. The visitors also have a late decision to make at left-back if Vitalii Mykolenko is unavailable.

This has the makings of a controlled, low-margin game. Everton’s defensive record deserves respect, but Hull have already proved they can compete with strong opponents at the MKM Stadium. Taking the home side with a half-goal start is the safer route than asking either team to win outright.

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Our Best BetEditor’s Choice

Hull Asian Handicap +0.5

Hull are unbeaten at home in the league
Everton have drawn both league away games
The +0.5 line covers a tight draw

Best Odds2.70Decimal

18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgBet Hull Asian Handicap +0.5 @ 2.70

Why Hull Asian Handicap +0.5 Makes Sense

Hull have earned four points from their first two Premier League home matches, beating Manchester United 2-0 and drawing 0-0 with Aston Villa. Jakirovic's 5-4-1 keeps the centre of the pitch crowded and gives the hosts a clear route into the game through Belloumi, Giles and McBurnie.

Everton are unbeaten, but their league away record is two draws from two. Moyes has a settled defensive unit and enough quality to control spells, yet the 1-1 at Bournemouth and 0-0 at Tottenham show that this side is not regularly putting away opponents on the road.

Hull +0.5 wins with either a home victory or a draw. At 2.70, that protection fits a fixture expected to be decided by small margins better than taking either match winner.

Form & Recent Matches

Newest match first.

Hull

LDDWD

19 Sep 2026ANewcastle United
Premier League1-2L
12 Sep 2026AChelsea
Premier League2-2D
5 Sep 2026HAston Villa
Premier League0-0D
29 Aug 2026ACoventry City
Premier League1-0W
25 Aug 2026AStoke City
Carabao Cup1-1D

Everton

WWDDD

19 Sep 2026HIpswich Town
Premier League1-0W
16 Sep 2026HWolverhampton Wanderers
Carabao Cup1-0W
12 Sep 2026ATottenham Hotspur
Premier League0-0D
6 Sep 2026HManchester United
Premier League2-2D
29 Aug 2026ABournemouth
Premier League1-1D

Match Statistics

Last 10 Matches

Hull5 W · 4 D · 1 L

1.20Avg goals scored

0.60Avg goals conceded

6/10Clean sheets

5Wins

4Draws

1Losses

Everton4 W · 3 D · 0 L

1.57Avg goals scored

0.43Avg goals conceded

5/7Clean sheets

4Wins

3Draws

0Losses

Based on 7 completed matches (fewer than 10 available).

GoalsBTTSHalf TimeClean SheetsForm

Statistic	Hull	Everton
Avg goals scored	1.20	1.57
Avg goals conceded	0.60	0.43
Scored 0 goals	2/10	1/7
Scored 1 goal	4/10	3/7
Scored 2 goals	4/10	2/7
Scored 3+ goals	0/10	1/7
Conceded 0 goals	6/10	5/7
Conceded 1 goal	2/10	1/7
Conceded 2 goals	2/10	1/7
Conceded 3+ goals	0/10	0/7

Statistic	Hull	Everton
BTTS — Yes	4/10	2/7
BTTS — No	6/10	5/7

Half-time data unavailable.

Statistic	Hull	Everton
Clean sheets	6/10	5/7
Failed to keep a clean sheet	4/10	2/7

Hull

LDDWDWWWDW

5 Wins · 4 Draws · 1 Losses

Everton

WWDDDWW

4 Wins · 3 Draws · 0 Losses

Newest match first.

Form Analysis

Recent Form

How both teams have been performing.

Hull

Home team

Form Outlook

Hull's only regulation defeat in their latest 10 competitive games came at Newcastle, where they were punished by two goals in the opening seven minutes before improving after the interval. Their wider record is excellent: five wins, four draws and six clean sheets across that sequence.

At the MKM Stadium, Hull have been particularly difficult to shift. They are unbeaten in five competitive home matches and have not conceded in either Premier League home game this season. That defensive base is central to the handicap case.

Everton

Away team

Form Outlook

Everton have begun the campaign unbeaten in seven competitive matches, conceding only three goals and keeping five clean sheets. The defensive pairing of James Tarkowski and Jarrad Branthwaite, protected by Pickford, Garner and Armstrong, has provided Moyes with a dependable platform.

The caveat is that Everton's league away results have been 1-1 at Bournemouth and 0-0 at Tottenham. They have controlled long periods without turning that control into a win, which makes another close match at Hull entirely plausible.

Team News

Squad Update

Latest squad information before kick-off.

Hull

Home team

Squad Status

Eliot Matazo, Jack Butland, Darko Gyabi and Ilyas Ansah are listed as unavailable. Tim Iroegbunam is a major doubt after aggravating a groin issue during his substitute appearance at Newcastle.

Nobel Mendy is a concussion doubt, while Charlie Hughes, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Hidemasa Morita and Matt Targett require late fitness checks. There are no reported Hull suspensions.

Everton

Away team

Squad Status

Vitalii Mykolenko is Everton's main selection concern after missing Ukraine's international fixtures with illness and injury issues. If he is not passed fit, Ainsley Maitland-Niles could move to left-back with Jake O'Brien entering at right-back, while James Garner is another possible emergency option.

Christian Norgaard is working back towards fitness and Merlin Röhl remains a doubt. No Everton suspension has been reported in current match previews.

Tactical Analysis

Tactical Outlook

HullHome

Tactical matchup

EvertonAway

Tactical Outlook

Hull are expected to retain the 5-4-1 that has featured in their latest league matches. The shape allows Coyle and Giles to provide width, but its main purpose is to keep the central defensive line protected and make opponents play around the block. Belloumi is the key link when Hull break, while McBurnie can hold direct passes and bring runners into play.

Everton's likely 4-2-3-1 should give them a numerical advantage in possession, with Garner and Armstrong feeding Dewsbury-Hall between the lines. The challenge is finding clean passing lanes around Hull's compact midfield rather than settling for hopeful crosses into a crowded penalty area.

The wide areas may decide the contest. Grealish and Johnson need to stretch Hull's wing-backs, but Hull can counter into the space behind them through Belloumi and their wide midfielders. Tarkowski's set-piece threat is another Everton route, while Hull have shown they can make their own deliveries count.

H2H

Head-to-Head

Previous meetings between the two teams.

8 Jan 2022FA CupVenue: HullHull2–3Everton
18 Mar 2017Premier LeagueVenue: EvertonHull0–4Everton
30 Dec 2016Premier LeagueVenue: HullHull2–2Everton
1 Jan 2015Premier LeagueVenue: HullHull2–0Everton

Expected Starting XI

Team Lineups

Projected starting lineups for both teams.

HullFormation 5-4-1

EvertonFormation 4-2-3-1

Players to Watch

Key Players

Players who could have an important influence on the match.

Hull

Home team

Mohamed BelloumiAM
Hull's leading creative influence, with two goals at Chelsea and assists in the wins over Coventry and Newcastle.
Konstantinos TzolakisGK
Has kept three league clean sheets and saved a penalty at Newcastle.
Oli McBurnieST
The target forward in Hull's direct game and an important outlet against Everton's pressure.
Ryan GilesLWB
His width and crossing give Hull a route around Everton's defensive shape.

Everton

Away team

Thierno BarryST
Everton's leading early scorer, with five goals in seven competitive matches.
Jordan PickfordGK
A major reason Everton have conceded only three league goals and kept three clean sheets.
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallAM
Everton's main link between midfield and attack in the No. 10 role.
James TarkowskiCB
The captain remains vital defensively and carries a real set-piece threat.
Jack GrealishLW
Can create the individual moments Everton may need against a deep defensive block.

What the Numbers Tell Us

Data Insight

What the recent numbers suggest about the matchup.

Our Reading of the Data

The strongest statistical theme is defensive control. Hull have six clean sheets in their last 10 competitive matches and have conceded only six goals in that run. Their first two Premier League home games produced a 2-0 win over Manchester United and a 0-0 draw with Aston Villa.

Everton have also made low-scoring football a habit. Five of their seven competitive games this season have ended with a clean sheet, while only two have gone over 2.5 goals. Their two Premier League away matches have produced draws and only two total goals.

Those trends point towards another narrow contest. A draw fits the profile, which is why Hull +0.5 has a strong relationship with the 1-1 score prediction.

Final Verdict

Editorial

Our ConclusionHullvsEverton

Everton deserve their unbeaten start, but Hull have already shown at the MKM Stadium that they can stay compact, frustrate stronger opponents and take points. Moyes' side may control more possession, yet their league away draws at Bournemouth and Tottenham make them difficult to trust as clear winners here.

Hull Asian Handicap +0.5 at 2.70 is the pick. It covers the draw as well as a Hull win, which is valuable in a match expected to be tight and low on clear chances. Our predicted score is 1-1.